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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Arabia restored full capacity on the 7.0 million barrel-per-day East-West oil pipeline on September 29. The Ministry of Energy is expected to provide a formal briefing to confirm the final restart date and verified capacity for the fourth quarter.

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Polymarket76%October 31−1 pts · 7dcloses in 33 days$1.9M traded
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  1. October 3176%
  2. October 1556%
  3. September 3018%

The story so far

written Sep 29

What is happening

Saudi Arabia restored full operational capacity on the East-West oil pipeline on September 29, 2026, securing a critical export route that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz [7][15]. The restoration of the 7.0 million barrel-per-day link follows a complete shutdown earlier this month caused by strikes on two pumping stations [9][10][11]. This recovery on September 29 meets the operational milestone one day ahead of the September 30 target [7].

What to watch

The Ministry of Energy is expected to provide a formal briefing to confirm the final restart date and verified operational capacity for the fourth quarter [7]. Satellite and third-party logistics data will now be monitored for the resumption of export loading at the Yanbu terminal, which had not yet restarted as of September 24 [2][13]. Future throughput levels will determine if the pipeline maintains the maximum capacity it reached in the first quarter of 2026 [3][4].

Read the full brief · how we got here

How we got here

Saudi Aramco began building up line volumes on September 24 after satellite imagery from mid-September revealed significant structural damage to the infrastructure [2][8][10]. The pipeline had previously faced disruptions in April 2026, which forced a temporary halt to operational activities at several energy facilities [5][19]. These recent repairs address damage from a series of strikes in early September that had disabled the pumping stations [8][9].

References · 12
  1. [2]reuters.com — Saudi East-West Pipeline building up volumes, loading yet to resume ...
  2. [3]spa.gov.sa — Saudi Aramco Announces Q1 2026 Results
  3. [4]aramco.com — PDF Aramco announces first quarter 2026 results
  4. [5]reuters.com — Saudi Arabia says attacks cut oil output and East-West Pipeline flow ...
  5. [7]saudipress.com — Saudi Arabia restores full capacity on East-West oil pipeline after ...
  6. [8]thedefensenews.com — Satellite Imagery Shows Heavy Damage to Saudi East-West Oil Pipeline ...
  7. [9]energynow.com — Two Pumping Stations Along Saudi East-West Pipeline Damaged in Recent ...
  8. [10]bbc.com — Satellite image reveals major damage that shut crucial Saudi oil pipeline
  9. [11]thedefensenews.com — Satellite Imagery Shows Extensive Damage to Saudi Arabia's East-West ...
  10. [13]hydrocarbonprocessing.com — Saudi East-West Pipeline building up volumes, loading yet to resume
  11. [15]saudipress.com — Saudi Arabia Pushes East-West Oil Pipeline Toward Full Capacity as ...
  12. [19]globalsecurity.org — Ministry of Energy: Energy Facilities and East-West Pipeline Affected ...

What would close this

0 of 4 met
The Ministry of Energy or Saudi Aramco issues an official statement confirming the pipeline has resumed operations.open
At least one reputable news outlet (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, AP) reports that oil is flowing through the East‑West pipeline.open
Satellite or third‑party logistics data shows oil movement on the pipeline route.open
A follow‑up Ministry of Energy briefing confirms the restart date and operational capacity.open
If none of these happen, this page closes automatically on .

Timeline

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When we started following: Saudi Arabia restores full capacity on East-West oil pipeline following September repairs

Saudi Arabia restored full operational capacity on the East-West oil pipeline on September 29, 2026 [7]. The recovery follows a series of strikes in early September that caused heavy damage to at least two pumping stations [8][9][10]. Satellite imagery from mid-September confirmed significant structural damage that forced a temporary shutdown of the 7.0 million barrel-per-day link [3][10][11].

Aramco began building up line volumes on September 24, though export loading at the Yanbu terminal had not yet resumed at that time [2]. This full restoration of capacity on September 29 occurs one day before the first Polymarket milestone of September 30 [7]. The pipeline previously reached its maximum capacity in the first quarter of 2026 before the April and September disruptions [3][5].