- Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
- Pedro Sánchez17%
- Santiago Abascal2%
- Isabel Díaz Ayuso0%
- Yolanda Díaz0%
- María Jesús Montero0%
The story so far
written Oct 5What is happening
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez announced a snap general election for Nov. 29 following the rejection of two housing decrees by Congress [9][10][12]. The vote determines the leadership of the Spanish government as polls suggest a potential absolute majority for a bloc formed by the Popular Party (PP) and Vox [1][10]. Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the Polymarket outcome at 82%▼, followed by Pedro Sánchez at 17%▲ and Santiago Abascal at 2%▲ [1][2]. Other outcomes include Isabel Díaz Ayuso at 0%, María Jesús Montero at 0%, and Yolanda Díaz at 0%.
What to watch
The royal decree to dissolve the Cortes and formally call the vote will be published Oct. 6, starting a 54-day electoral period [6][8][11]. Alberto Núñez Feijóo will begin his pre-campaign in Ceuta this Wednesday [3][4]. He is scheduled to meet with the PP Board of Directors the following day [4]. The new parliament is expected to be constituted by mid-December, before Christmas [6][13].
Read the full brief · how we got here
How we got here
The election call followed the defeat of government housing legislation in the legislature [9][12]. Santiago Abascal has set conditions for a potential coalition with the PP, including "remigration" policies and "national priority" for public resources [2]. The campaign begins as the country addresses a migratory crisis following the entry of 80,000 irregular migrants in July [3].
References · 11
- [1]publico.es — El fantasma del 23J previene al PP: Feijóo inicia la campaña con cautela y proponiendo un plebiscito contra Sánchez | Público
- [2]elconstitucional.es — Santiago Abascal ya pone condiciones a Feijóo para gobernar en coalición tras las elecciones del 29N: "remigración" y "prioridad nacional"
- [3]elconstitucional.es — Feijóo will kick off his election pre-campaign in Ceuta and focuses on the migratory crisis in the autonomous city: "We cannot be complacent"
- [4]infobae.com — Feijóo elige Ceuta para su primer viaje de precampaña este miércoles y al día siguiente cita a la Junta Directiva del PP - Infobae
- [6]europapress.es — El decreto de convocatoria fijará el día de constitución de las nuevas Cortes, que será antes de Navidad
- [8]democrata.es — General elections calendar 2026: all the key dates of 29-N | Demócrata
- [9]euronews.com — Pedro Sánchez calls early elections in Spain after defeat of housing decrees | Euronews
- [10]aljazeera.com — Spain's Pedro Sanchez announces snap election amid housing ...
- [11]lavanguardia.com — Elecciones generales: calendario y fechas claves del proceso
- [12]lamoncloa.gob.es — La Moncloa. Pedro Sánchez anuncia la convocatoria de elecciones generales para el 29 de noviembre | 05/10/2026 [Presidente/Actividad]
- [13]infobae.com — El decreto de convocatoria pondrá fecha a la constitución de las Cortes, que será antes de Navidad - Infobae
Timeline
newest firstWhen we started following: Sánchez calls snap general election for Nov. 29 after housing decree defeat
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez announced a snap general election for Nov. 29 following the rejection of two housing decrees by Congress [9][10][12]. The royal decree to dissolve the Cortes and formally call the vote will be published Oct. 6, initiating a 54-day electoral period [6][8][11]. The new parliament is expected to be constituted by mid-December [6].
Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who leads Polymarket at 82%▼, will begin his pre-campaign in Ceuta on Wednesday, focusing on the migratory crisis following the entry of 80,000 irregular migrants in July [3][4]. Santiago Abascal, priced at 2%▲, has set conditions for a potential coalition with the Popular Party (PP), including "remigration" and "national priority" for public resources [2][5]. Incumbent Pedro Sánchez is priced at 17%▲ as polls currently suggest a potential absolute majority for a PP-Vox bloc [1][10]. Other listed outcomes include Isabel Díaz Ayuso at 0%, María Jesús Montero at 0%, and Yolanda Díaz at 0%.