Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Control of Kharg Island determines the flow of 90 percent of Iran's crude oil exports and the stability of global energy markets [2]. Iran maintains sovereignty over Kharg, Abu Musa, and the Tunb islands as of September 2026 [1][3]. The Iranian government rejected renewed territorial claims by the Arab League on September 9 [1]. This follows a series of U.S. airstrikes between March 1 and March 16, 2026, which targeted military infrastructure on Kharg and Abu Musa [4][5]. The strikes destroyed bunkers and power facilities but left the Abu Musa runway intact [5]. Analysts suggest the preserved runway maintains the option for a U.S. ground operation [5].

A public announcement from the Iranian government regarding a withdrawal of control would signal a change in the island's status. Independent verification from the United Nations or satellite imagery confirming a non-Iranian military presence would also establish a shift in authority. A formal declaration by a foreign government or international body recognizing a new administration on Kharg Island would settle the question of control.

Market participants monitor these developments to assess the probability of Iran losing control of the island. U.S. President Donald Trump refused to rule out the seizure of Iranian territory during a July 13 interview [2]. Reports from March 2026 indicated the U.S. Department of Defense had prepared plans for raids on Kharg Island [2].